Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -110 TTU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -3.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.4 (+4.6) | 130.6 (+22.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.4 (+4.6) | 132.1 (+20.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -1.9 (+5.1) | 131.1 (+21.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -1.8 (+5.2) | 131.4 (+21.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | 8.7 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#88) | 0.95 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#86) | 1.34 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#131) | 0.580 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 44.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 41.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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