Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +550 DEN -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +22 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -11.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -7.9 (-14.1) | 132.3 (+17.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -8.0 (-14.0) | 134.2 (+15.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -7.4 (-14.6) | 135.2 (+14.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -7.0 (-15.0) | 135.2 (+14.8) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2021 | DEN 63 – 47 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#355) | -2.7 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#264) | -0.54 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#267) | -1.46 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#228) | 0.358 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.9% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 19.0% | 24.3% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.29 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.4% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 26.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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