Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | KU -450 NCSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -3.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -1.7 (+7.7) | 151.9 (+2.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -0.9 (+5.1) | 148.7 (+5.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -1.6 (+7.6) | 146.6 (+7.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -0.7 (+6.7) | 148.0 (+6.0) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | KU 77 – 76 NCSU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | KU 75 – 60 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#51) | 11.5 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#53) | 1.66 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#64) | 3.03 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#89) | 0.604 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 9.9% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 81.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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