Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -130 KU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -4.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -2.4 (-3.4) | 145.4 (+7.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -4.7 (-5.7) | 145.0 (+8.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -5.6 (-6.6) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -5.5 (-6.5) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | KU 75 – 60 NCSU |
| Nov 23, 2022 | KU 80 – 74 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#21) | 16.7 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#67) | 2.95 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#50) | 4.45 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#64) | 0.642 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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