Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | KU -1400 NCSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | KU -14.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -12.1 (+2.9) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -13.3 (+1.7) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -14.9 (+0.1) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -13.9 (+1.1) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | KU 77 – 76 NCSU |
| Nov 23, 2022 | KU 80 – 74 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#20) | 5.2 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#19) | 0.47 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#25) | 0.86 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.695 (#6) | 0.491 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.