Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +138 RAD -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -3.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-35.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -1.7 (+12.7) | 143.8 (-30.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.7 (+14.7) | 143.8 (-30.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -1.7 (+12.7) | 146.2 (-33.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.1 (+13.1) | 147.6 (-34.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | W&M 96 – 83 RAD |
| Nov 9, 2024 | RAD 89 – 77 W&M |
| Nov 24, 2021 | RAD 67 – 54 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#265) | 5.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#294) | -0.05 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#309) | -0.44 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#271) | 0.530 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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