Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 170.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -425 RAD +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +13 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -19.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -11.6 (+1.4) | 162.7 (+16.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -15.3 (-2.3) | 157.9 (+21.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -18.0 (-5.0) | 157.0 (+22.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -16.9 (-3.9) | 159.9 (+19.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | RAD 89 – 77 W&M |
| Nov 23, 2022 | W&M 62 – 51 RAD |
| Nov 24, 2021 | RAD 67 – 54 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 80.8 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#86) | -7.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#68) | -2.89 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#73) | -4.18 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#57) | 0.379 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.