Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | URI +170 ILST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +13 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -1.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -1.8 (+14.8) | 134.9 (-33.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -1.1 (+14.1) | 130.4 (-29.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -2.1 (+15.1) | 135.6 (-34.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -2.3 (+15.3) | 134.9 (-33.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#303) | -5.6 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#340) | -0.79 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#334) | -1.76 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#282) | 0.412 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.