Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | USC +100 BYU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -3.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -0.4 (+6.4) | 142.1 (+15.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.2 (+8.2) | 143.8 (+14.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -1.2 (+7.2) | 138.7 (+19.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.0 (+8.0) | 139.9 (+18.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2020 | USC 79 – 53 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#202) | 2.1 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#242) | 0.91 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#262) | 1.25 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#290) | 0.611 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 43.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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