Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -175 USC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +26 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -5.0 (-31.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -1.2 (-27.2) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -2.5 (-28.5) | 146.4 (-14.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | USC 82 – 76 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-2 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#55) | -0.6 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#71) | 0.79 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#70) | 1.10 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#77) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 53.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 45.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 48.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
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