Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -1200 COPP +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -15.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -16.2 (-0.2) | 147.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -12.8 (+3.2) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -14.0 (+2.0) | 142.1 (+7.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -12.6 (+3.4) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | TOW 70 – 49 COPP |
| Dec 11, 2021 | TOW 89 – 75 COPP |
| Dec 26, 2020 | TOW 78 – 73 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#68) | -1.3 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.83 (#1) | 0.94 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.51 (#1) | 1.12 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#81) | 0.579 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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