Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | TOW -700 COPP +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -11.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -6.8 (-1.8) | 146.0 (+5.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -8.0 (-3.0) | 142.2 (+8.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -8.9 (-3.9) | 141.8 (+9.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -6.9 (-1.9) | 143.4 (+7.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | TOW 70 – 49 COPP |
| Nov 23, 2022 | TOW 83 – 67 COPP |
| Dec 11, 2021 | TOW 89 – 75 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#247) | -12.4 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#295) | -1.83 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#285) | -2.60 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#256) | 0.409 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 15.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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