Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +14 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -8.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -8.3 (-5.7) | 140.0 (+24.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -6.1 (-7.9) | 140.3 (+23.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -6.2 (-7.8) | 141.0 (+23.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -7.1 (-6.9) | 139.4 (+24.6) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | TOW 70 – 49 COPP |
| Nov 23, 2022 | TOW 83 – 67 COPP |
| Dec 26, 2020 | TOW 78 – 73 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 3-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-16 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 62.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#291) | 5.7 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#322) | 0.78 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#300) | 1.40 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#291) | 0.528 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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