Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +1400 TOW -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +21 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | COPP -8.6 (-29.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -1.3 (-19.7) | 142.2 (-23.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -0.2 (-21.2) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | TOW 83 – 67 COPP |
| Dec 11, 2021 | TOW 89 – 75 COPP |
| Dec 26, 2020 | TOW 78 – 73 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 2-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 0-17 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-6 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.9 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#263) | -0.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#175) | -0.29 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#241) | -0.41 (#195) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 22.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 25.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 12.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.1% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 56.2% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.1% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.