Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | YALE +110 UVM -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +29 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -15.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.4 (+18.6) | 137.9 (-20.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -15.2 (+13.8) | 138.9 (-21.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -16.5 (+12.5) | 137.3 (-20.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -16.1 (+12.9) | 140.2 (-23.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | YALE 77 – 74 UVM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YALE 65 – 50 UVM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | UVM 66 – 65 YALE |
| Nov 19, 2021 | UVM 61 – 53 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#62) | -1.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#28) | -1.20 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#39) | -1.60 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#44) | 0.467 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 14.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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