Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +110 TEM -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +12 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -2.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.3 (+10.7) | 139.5 (-29.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.7 (+10.3) | 141.9 (-31.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.6 (+10.4) | 141.4 (-31.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -1.6 (+10.4) | 139.3 (-29.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#149) | -0.7 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#315) | -1.28 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#295) | -1.34 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#279) | 0.516 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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