Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UK -5000 UNF +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +40 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UK -23.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -23.7 (+16.3) | 155.0 (-3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -22.7 (+17.3) | 157.6 (-5.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -20.6 (+19.4) | 150.3 (+1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -23.7 (+16.3) | 153.3 (-1.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | UK 86 – 52 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#33) | -6.1 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | -1.25 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#120) | -2.66 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#159) | 0.445 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 60.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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