Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +34 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UK -21.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -23.1 (+10.9) | 141.0 (-3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -21.7 (+12.3) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -20.1 (+13.9) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -23.6 (+10.4) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | UK 96 – 56 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#28) | -3.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#75) | -1.85 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#44) | -2.64 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#108) | 0.436 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 45.8 | 26.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 49.1% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.