Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -700 MORG +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +1 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -14.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -10.6 (-9.6) | 146.1 (+14.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -10.4 (-9.4) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -11.5 (-10.5) | 146.4 (+14.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -11.1 (-10.1) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | LMU 83 – 56 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#106) | -3.5 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#97) | -0.46 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#83) | -1.20 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#48) | 0.467 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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