Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WEB +220 WRST -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +22 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -5.7 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -4.8 (-17.2) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -4.1 (-17.9) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -4.2 (-17.8) | 146.5 (+5.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -3.5 (-18.5) | 147.2 (+4.8) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#323) | -2.8 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#305) | 0.18 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#333) | 0.05 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#305) | 0.520 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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