Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -110 JAX +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +21 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -20.6 (-41.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -14.8 (-35.8) | 131.9 (-24.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -19.7 (-40.7) | 133.0 (-26.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -15.4 (-36.4) | 126.2 (-19.2) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | JAX 62 – 48 CAM |
| Dec 9, 2020 | CAM 80 – 78 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#39) | -3.7 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#91) | -0.73 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#63) | -1.31 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#72) | 0.479 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 43.0% | 13.0% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 36.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 9.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 11.9% |
Game Analysis
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