Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | JAX -305 CAM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +14 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -8.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -4.9 (+9.1) | 132.7 (-22.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -6.6 (+7.4) | 135.4 (-25.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -7.1 (+6.9) | 134.7 (-24.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -6.5 (+7.5) | 133.4 (-23.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | JAX 64 – 43 CAM |
| Dec 9, 2020 | CAM 80 – 78 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#278) | -7.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#154) | -2.65 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#174) | -3.49 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#198) | 0.304 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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