But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
TD Arena · November 23, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -2.5 Away covered
O/U 160.5 Under
Money COFC -138 / KENT +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total COFC win
Actual COFC +2 146 Won
Massey KENT -1.8 (+3.8) — —
Massey Totals — 165.1 (-19.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COFC -1.1 (+0.9) 156.0 (-10.0) 60% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -0.5 (+1.5) 155.1 (-9.1) 51% ✓
Baseline ML COFC -0.7 (+1.3) 156.9 (-10.9) 48% ✗
Baseline Plus ML COFC -1.3 (+0.7) 159.8 (-13.8) 56% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2023 COFC 84 – 78 KENT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COFC KENT
Overall 31-4 28-7
Conference 16-2 15-3
Home 17-1 15-0
Away 11-2 9-6
Neutral 3-1 4-1
Last 5 4-1 4-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.6 75.2
Avg Pts Against 67.2 66.5
Massey 3.1 (#119) 12.2 (#25)
Bradley-Terry 2.52 (#30) 1.99 (#48)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.71 (#34) 3.07 (#49)
RPI 0.710 (#15) 0.589 (#75)
Shooting & Four Factors COFC KENT
FG% 45.6% 46.7%
3PT% 31.4% 38.8%
REB / G 37.8 35.5
OREB / G 13.3 10.0
AST / TO 0.84 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 54.5%
TOV% 18.0% 18.3%
ORB% 34.8% 29.2%
FT Rate 21.7% 30.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 42.5%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 28.9%
DRB% 72.1% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 28.2%

Game Analysis

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