Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UMES -138 MRST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -7.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -2.3 (+8.7) | 134.0 (-5.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -4.7 (+6.3) | 136.9 (-7.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -4.3 (+6.7) | 137.0 (-8.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -4.5 (+6.5) | 137.7 (-8.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | MRST 76 – 52 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#294) | -7.3 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#263) | -2.40 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#246) | -3.95 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#317) | 0.324 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.