Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -300 LIP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -9.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -4.7 (-10.7) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.7 (-12.7) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -5.7 (-11.7) | 142.2 (-4.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -9.2 (-15.2) | 137.6 (+0.4) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | LIP 80 – 62 UTC |
| Nov 29, 2023 | LIP 82 – 68 UTC |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTC 85 – 64 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#145) | -0.9 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#196) | 0.15 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#184) | 0.16 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#58) | 0.526 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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