Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LIP +205 UTC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +21 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -1.4 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -5.2 (-15.8) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -0.2 (-21.2) | 144.4 (+4.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -0.3 (-21.3) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.9 (-18.1) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | LIP 80 – 62 UTC |
| Nov 29, 2023 | LIP 82 – 68 UTC |
| Nov 23, 2022 | LIP 72 – 66 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#141) | 8.8 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#107) | 2.02 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#113) | 3.02 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#153) | 0.602 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 46.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 4.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 16.6% | 40.1% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.