Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -165 UTC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -8.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.1 (+8.9) | 148.1 (+1.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.8 (+8.2) | 148.2 (+1.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.9 (+7.1) | 145.8 (+4.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.0 (+9.0) | 151.3 (-1.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | LIP 80 – 62 UTC |
| Nov 23, 2022 | LIP 72 – 66 UTC |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTC 85 – 64 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#153) | -1.6 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#134) | 1.22 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#180) | 1.72 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#174) | 0.542 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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