Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -120 LIP +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -0.8 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.9 (-18.9) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -1.0 (-19.0) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -2.5 (-20.5) | 141.7 (+0.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.8 (-18.8) | 144.4 (-2.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | LIP 82 – 68 UTC |
| Nov 23, 2022 | LIP 72 – 66 UTC |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTC 85 – 64 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 12-5 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#207) | 3.8 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#110) | -0.56 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#130) | -0.22 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#127) | 0.480 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 12.0% |
Game Analysis
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