Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -333 ELON +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +25 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -9.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -6.9 (+18.1) | 148.4 (-17.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -7.3 (+17.7) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -5.9 (+19.1) | 145.1 (-14.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -7.1 (+17.9) | 147.4 (-16.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | JXST 93 – 81 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#295) | -8.7 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#290) | -3.64 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#312) | -5.40 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#242) | 0.375 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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