Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Schar Center · November 27, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -2.0 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money ELON +120 / JXST -140
Model Predictions
Spread Total ELON win
Actual JXST +12 174 Lost
Massey JXST -3.7 (-8.3) — —
Massey Totals — 133.2 (+40.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 54% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 53% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -4.3 (-7.7) 138.9 (+35.1) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -5.4 (-6.6) 137.9 (+36.1) 32% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -3.2 (-8.8) 136.6 (+37.4) 35% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -3.8 (-8.2) 135.0 (+39.0) 34% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 23, 2022 JXST 78 – 53 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ELON JXST
Neutral 0-4 1-2
Last 5 0-4 2-3
Massey -9.0 (#321) 1.6 (#145)
Bradley-Terry -2.25 (#328) -0.82 (#241)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.14 (#321) -1.31 (#242)
RPI 0.442 (#254) 0.434 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors ELON JXST
FG% 36.9% 40.1%
3PT% 29.8% 37.9%
REB / G 31.0 39.2
OREB / G 7.2 9.2
AST / TO 0.69 0.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.3% 48.0%
TOV% 20.8% 21.9%
ORB% 19.1% 25.8%
FT Rate 25.3% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 43.2%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 17.9%
DRB% 67.4% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 35.4% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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