Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -4000 SCST +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +31 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -20.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -15.4 (+15.6) | 153.6 (+25.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -19.1 (+11.9) | 155.4 (+23.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -14.4 (+16.6) | 150.1 (+28.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -15.9 (+15.1) | 149.9 (+29.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 84.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#156) | -11.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#134) | -2.12 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#124) | -3.36 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#104) | 0.320 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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