Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CP -333 IDHO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | CP -4.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.0 (+32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -4.3 (+6.7) | 131.0 (+22.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.5 (+8.5) | 130.7 (+22.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -1.5 (+9.5) | 128.4 (+24.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -3.5 (+7.5) | 129.5 (+23.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 80 CP |
| Dec 2, 2023 | IDHO 85 – 70 CP |
| Nov 24, 2021 | CP 67 – 63 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-10 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#326) | -7.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#319) | -3.21 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#317) | -5.52 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#316) | 0.278 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 4.7 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.26 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 13.5% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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