Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | CP +114 IDHO -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +3 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -1.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -0.5 (-3.5) | 153.3 (+9.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -2.0 (-5.0) | 153.3 (+9.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -0.4 (-3.4) | 154.5 (+8.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -0.1 (-3.1) | 153.6 (+9.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | IDHO 85 – 70 CP |
| Nov 24, 2022 | CP 82 – 71 IDHO |
| Nov 24, 2021 | CP 67 – 63 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#214) | 2.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#227) | 0.59 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#232) | 0.55 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#224) | 0.526 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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