Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | KU -200 WIS +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | KU -6.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.0 (-3.0) | 133.0 (+4.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -5.0 (-4.0) | 127.9 (+9.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.8 (-2.8) | 128.8 (+8.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.2 (-2.2) | 128.4 (+8.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#36) | 3.5 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#13) | 2.36 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.19 (#10) | 3.23 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#40) | 0.644 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 37.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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