Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Gersten Pavilion · November 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LMU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money LMU -275 / BELL +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total LMU win
Actual LMU +21 139 Won
Massey LMU -11.9 (+9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (-11.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LMU -8.4 (+12.6) 144.7 (-5.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LMU -6.8 (+14.2) 142.1 (-3.1) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LMU -8.5 (+12.5) 145.6 (-6.6) 79% ✓
Baseline ML LMU -9.8 (+11.2) 146.1 (-7.1) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2021 LMU 71 – 57 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LMU BELL
Overall 19-12 15-18
Conference 9-7 9-9
Home 13-3 8-6
Away 4-7 6-12
Neutral 2-2 1-0
Last 5 4-1 1-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.5 63.5
Avg Pts Against 73.9 69.6
Massey 2.1 (#141) -2.7 (#227)
Bradley-Terry 1.20 (#93) -0.78 (#239)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.01 (#93) -1.60 (#255)
RPI 0.608 (#59) 0.431 (#257)
Shooting & Four Factors LMU BELL
FG% 45.7% 41.3%
3PT% 34.7% 32.5%
REB / G 35.5 27.0
OREB / G 10.2 6.2
AST / TO 0.89 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 47.3%
TOV% 18.6% 14.3%
ORB% 28.4% 19.8%
FT Rate 18.8% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 17.7%
DRB% 73.8% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 31.2%

Game Analysis

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