Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +14 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -2.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -2.7 (-16.7) | 134.3 (-6.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -0.6 (-14.6) | 132.2 (-4.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -2.7 (-16.7) | 137.2 (-9.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.3 (-16.3) | 137.3 (-9.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | LMU 80 – 59 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#239) | -2.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#182) | 0.24 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#183) | 0.18 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#98) | 0.509 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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