Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UALB +700 FAU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -8.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -8.7 (-8.3) | 143.5 (-14.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -6.3 (-10.7) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.6 (-10.4) | 143.3 (-14.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.9 (-10.1) | 146.3 (-17.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | FAU 105 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 18-2 |
| Home | 5-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-16 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#306) | 7.7 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#313) | 2.66 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#326) | 3.86 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#338) | 0.728 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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