Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -900 UALB +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +26 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -19.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -17.0 (+9.0) | 144.2 (+39.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -15.8 (+10.2) | 146.5 (+37.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -16.1 (+9.9) | 147.8 (+36.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -15.6 (+10.4) | 147.0 (+37.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | FAU 73 – 56 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#115) | -10.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#87) | -3.02 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#87) | -4.24 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#46) | 0.420 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 60.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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