Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -900 IDHO +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -19.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -12.0 (-15.0) | 149.0 (+16.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -12.9 (-15.9) | 150.7 (+14.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -12.3 (-15.3) | 149.2 (+15.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -11.6 (-14.6) | 148.0 (+17.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | IDHO 95 – 72 PAC |
| Dec 6, 2023 | IDHO 83 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-10 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#122) | -9.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#212) | -3.50 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#199) | -5.71 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#255) | 0.241 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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