Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | IDHO -180 PAC +152 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +30 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -11.3 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -9.0 (+21.0) | 142.0 (-6.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -8.4 (+21.6) | 140.9 (-4.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -8.1 (+21.9) | 140.0 (-4.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -6.8 (+23.2) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | IDHO 95 – 72 PAC |
| Nov 26, 2022 | IDHO 84 – 81 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 0-16 |
| Home | 6-10 | 5-12 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#304) | -12.9 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#280) | -1.31 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#271) | -2.22 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#261) | 0.425 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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