Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -150 LR +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -2.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -1.6 (+11.4) | 155.0 (-8.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.9 (+11.1) | 153.8 (-6.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.2 (+11.8) | 156.8 (-9.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -1.4 (+11.6) | 157.0 (-10.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#338) | -6.3 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.91 (#359) | -1.90 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.63 (#355) | -3.41 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#307) | 0.360 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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