Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +145 ARMY -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.8 (+1.8) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -0.3 (+0.7) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.0 (+1.0) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.2 (+1.2) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | ARMY 81 – 78 MAN |
| Nov 23, 2024 | MAN 80 – 79 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#267) | -4.7 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#343) | -1.80 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#335) | -3.50 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.212 (#363) | 0.339 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 4.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 26.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 15.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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