Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -450 BRY +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -0.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -2.0 (-3.0) | 150.0 (-5.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -2.2 (-3.2) | 150.1 (-5.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.4 (-3.4) | 157.0 (-12.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.6 (-2.6) | 155.4 (-10.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2020 | SYR 85 – 84 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#153) | 8.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#242) | 1.97 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#243) | 2.89 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#161) | 0.583 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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