Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | OAK +140 LBSU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -16.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -12.1 (+4.1) | 155.6 (-7.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -10.9 (+2.9) | 157.0 (-9.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -12.6 (+4.6) | 155.6 (-7.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -15.1 (+7.1) | 153.2 (-5.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#359) | 0.0 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#347) | -0.25 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.52 (#345) | -0.01 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.325 (#350) | 0.472 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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