Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -120 CLE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +22 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -0.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.1 (-19.9) | 134.2 (-14.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -0.0 (-22.0) | 136.7 (-16.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -0.4 (-22.4) | 137.6 (-17.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.3 (-21.7) | 133.7 (-13.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | CLE 90 – 77 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#313) | -1.1 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#305) | 0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#320) | -0.64 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#345) | 0.442 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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