Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | CLE -600 WMU +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -11.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -10.1 (+2.9) | 141.6 (+25.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.9 (+3.1) | 142.8 (+24.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -10.8 (+2.2) | 141.8 (+25.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -10.9 (+2.1) | 139.9 (+27.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | CLE 71 – 49 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#172) | -7.1 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#131) | -1.74 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#133) | -2.47 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#146) | 0.408 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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