Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU -115 OAK -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SJSU -10.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -6.7 (+6.3) | 145.1 (+1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -6.7 (+6.3) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -8.8 (+4.2) | 147.9 (-0.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -9.5 (+3.5) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#274) | -16.4 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#160) | -3.02 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#169) | -4.52 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#196) | 0.325 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 61.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.