Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -150 TXST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -4.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -0.1 (-12.9) | 140.8 (+2.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.6 (-14.6) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -0.8 (-13.8) | 141.6 (+1.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -0.3 (-13.3) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | SUU 74 – 67 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#74) | 2.0 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#198) | 0.67 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#195) | 0.79 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#61) | 0.472 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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