Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SUU +110 TXST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -2.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -1.4 (+5.6) | 131.0 (+10.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -0.1 (+6.9) | 131.8 (+9.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -0.5 (+6.5) | 132.8 (+8.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -1.3 (+5.7) | 131.9 (+9.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | TXST 78 – 65 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#149) | -1.1 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#289) | 0.27 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#280) | 0.37 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#320) | 0.497 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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