Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -250 TAR +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -4.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -6.0 (+6.0) | 131.4 (+22.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -5.5 (+6.5) | 134.7 (+19.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -5.4 (+6.6) | 131.4 (+22.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.8 (+7.2) | 131.3 (+22.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2021 | WICH 65 – 51 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#97) | 6.9 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#114) | 1.21 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#108) | 2.10 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#96) | 0.656 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 41.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 27.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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